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Mary Meeker's 2019 Internet Trends: stalled growth, security dumpster-fires, more online education and fear of regulation
Wednesday June 12, 2019. 08:41 PM , from BoingBoing
Every year, VC Mary Meeker (previously) publishes her must-read Internet Trends Report, which comes as a powerpoint deck with hundreds of slides (you can watch her power through them in 30 minutes flat at the Re-Code conference).
This year's topline trends: * More than half the world is online so growth is slowing * Ecommerce is still eroding brick-and-mortar retail * Infosec is a dumpster-fire, with global political repercussions * China and India each have more internet users than the US or Europe * Internet ad growth is nosediving * Programmatic rules internet ads * User acquisition costs are climbing * Freemium has moved from entertainment (where it is still strong) to business (where it's growing) * TV is tanking, mobile video is rising, now beats TV * Payment systems like Square are experiencing strong growth, serving businesses that were historically unable to accept electronic payments * Gig working is growing * Image-based communications (videos, photos) are growing at the expense of text-based communications * Gaming is growing, as is game-streaming * Businesses are collecting more data than ever * 'Data-plumbers' who provide back-end services for billing, account management, etc are a growth sector and key to the success of many larger businesses * Customers are more privacy conscious but still willing to share their data in exchange for 'personalized services' * People are less happy with social media and how it affects their lives * Encryption is growing * Bad news sells better than good news * Social media amplifies bad acts, bad news, bad feelings, bad beliefs * Internet freedom is in global decline, balkanization ('splinternet') is one the rise * Unemployment is a growing problem everywhere except the USA * Online training and education is growing, driven in part by the mounting costs of traditional college * Immigrants are key to US growth, with many successful tech businesses founded by first/second-gen immigrants * Proportion of people in America born abroad is at a high-water mark not seen in a century * US health insurance, costs, efficacy: a total dumpster-fire * Big Tech is moving to hold Americans' health data and involve itself in their health decisions * Chinese consumer confidence is in the toilet * Chinese growth is in the toilet * Chinese account balance is plummeting * Chinese exports have leveled off * Chinese mobile saturation is high, and mobile growth has ended * Chinese mobile internet usage continues strong growth * Chinese 'super apps' are totally unlike anything used in the west * Chinese education is migrating online * So are Chinese government services (via Copernican Shift)
https://boingboing.net/2019/06/12/saturation.html
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